Presidential poll: before the popular primary, Mélenchon falls, Taubira nibbles

How to get out of the doldrums for left-wing candidates all stuck under 10% of voting intentions in the first round in our real-time #Présidentielle survey carried out by Ifop-Fiducial for Paris Match? Tomorrow Thursday begins the vote for the popular primary, a highly contested citizens’ initiative whose goal is to “appoint the candidate most likely to bring together and win social justice, ecology and democracy in the presidential election of 2022”. On the eve of this consultation which succeeded in mobilizing more than 465,000 French people according to the website of the popular primary, the left-wing candidates are all or almost all looking for a second wind.

After exceeding 10% in our survey, Jean-Luc Mélenchon falls this Wednesday to 9% (-1). Ecologist Yannick Jadot and Christiane Taubira gain 0.5 points to reach 5.5% and 3.5% respectively. The socialist candidate Anne Hidalgo and the communist Fabien Roussel are still not taking off, stable at 3%. By adding up the voting intentions of all the candidates on the left, we painfully reach 25%, or half a point more than the President of the Republic Emmanuel Macron, the solid leader of our consultation with 24.5% of the intentions.

Zemmour regains ground on Pécresse

Further to the right on the political spectrum, Eric Zemmour is continuing his recovery after a very difficult week. He gains 0.5 points to regain 13% of voting intentions. Its dynamic contrasts with that of Valérie Pécresse, the LR candidate who loses at the same time 0.5 points. However, we must be wary of an overly categorical analysis of the movement of a voter from one candidate to the other. Marine Le Pen remains stable at 18.5% (=).

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