A resurgence of tensions on the banks makes the stock markets waver again – 03/24/2023 at 15:15


Global markets remain under pressure on Friday, especially in Europe where stock markets fell by nearly 2%, in the face of renewed fears about the financial health of European banks, whose shares are suffering heavy losses, in particular Deutsche Bank.

Wall Street opened lower, with the Dow Jones dropping 0.57%, the Nasdaq 0.54% and the broader S&P 500 index down 0.58% in early trade.

The decline in the main European indices has increased since the opening: Paris lost 2.02%, London 1.43%, Frankfurt 2.03% and Milan 1.88% around 2:00 p.m. GMT.

The banking sector of the broader Stoxx Europe 600 index fell for its part by 4.04%, after a sharp increase in the cost of insurance against the risk of default (CDS) of several European banks.

This hedging tool in the event of debt default has increased for most European banks, but less than for Deutsche Bank.

Deutsche Bank was therefore among the most affected on the stock market, with a fall of 9.49%, after having sunk more than 13%. Commerzbank lost 6.37% in Frankfurt.

In Paris, the Societe Generale share yielded 6.83%, the largest drop in the CAC 40 index, BNP Paribas also lost 6.67%. In London, Barclays lost 5.17% and HSBC 3.06%. Banco Sabadell fell by 4.16% in Madrid, ING by 4.08% in Amsterdam and Nordea by 7.86% in Copenhagen.

In Zurich, Credit Suisse fell by 6.24% and UBS by 4.97%, resuming some colors. According to Bloomberg, these banks are among those suspected by American justice of having helped Russian oligarchs to circumvent Western sanctions. Contacted by AFP, Credit Suisse declined to comment on the information and UBS did not respond.

In New York, the sector was also neglected, but to a lesser extent: JP Morgan Chase lost 1.62%, Morgan Stanley 3.49%, Goldman Sachs 2.39% and Bank of America 1.59%. The regional bank First Republic, particularly under pressure since the bankruptcy of SVB, dropped 3.59%.

– “Who will be the next one” –

“The fear of a contagion” in the banking sector “has not yet disappeared”, notes Neil Wilson, analyst at Finalto, who points to the sharp decline in European bank stocks on Friday, which “weighs on the general sentiment” of the market.

“As I have said many times over the past two weeks, the crisis will only end when investors stop wondering who will be next,” asserts the expert. “And it looks like we’re not there yet.”

Sign of the nervousness of investors, the bonds of European States, assets considered low risk, were very popular. The ten-year German debt rate, which varies inversely to the price of the bond, fell to 2.11% around 2:00 p.m. GMT, against 2.19% at the close on Thursday.

Safe havens such as the dollar, yen and gold were also sought after. On the other hand, the euro fell by 0.66% against the dollar, to 1.076 dollars for one euro.

“It is clear that after a brief respite at the start of the week, we are far from out of the woods,” warns Fiona Cincotta, analyst at City Index, interviewed by AFP. “As interest rates continue to rise, fears about the banking sector are likely to grow.”

The central banks of the United States, England, Switzerland and Norway have indeed announced a new increase in their key rates, their main tool in the fight against inflation. This “increases the pressure” on banks, according to CMC Markets analyst Jochen Stanzl.

Oil prices also fall, which is often a sign that investors fear an economic recession. A barrel of Brent from the North Sea for delivery in May lost 2.61% to 73.93 dollars, while a barrel of American WTI for the same term fell 2.76% to 68.03 dollars.

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