AfD gains in Bavaria
Survey sees Union further ahead in Hesse
September 29, 2023, 3:21 a.m
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The CDU has the best chances in the state elections in Hesse on October 8th. In the current Sunday question she got 31 percent, Nancy Fibre’s SPD lost points. In Bavaria, the majority of respondents support Söder’s CSU, while the Free Voters lose slightly.
According to a survey a week and a half before the state elections in Hesse, the CDU is still ahead. According to a representative survey published on Thursday by infratest dimap on behalf of ARD, the Christian Democrats came to 31 percent. The Greens followed at a considerable distance with 17 percent. Both parties received an unchanged result in the so-called Sunday question compared to a survey at the beginning of September.
The SPD, which is entering the race with Interior Minister Nancy Faeser as the top candidate, lost two percentage points in comparison and fell to 16 percent. The AfD also performed two percentage points worse at 15 percent. According to the survey, the FDP can have hopes of returning to the Wiesbaden parliament with currently 6 percent (plus 1). The Left, however, would currently remain below the five percent hurdle at four percent (plus 1) and would no longer be represented after 15 years. The Free Voters would also get 4 percent (plus 1).
The country is currently governed by a coalition of the CDU and the Greens. According to the election survey, both a continuation of the current coalition and a coalition between the CDU and SPD would be possible. A new edition of black-green would currently have the most supporters at 31 percent, but is viewed critically by a majority (63 percent). One in four people said they were positive about black and red. 67 percent would find this coalition less good or bad.
Greens remain constant in Bavaria
In Bavaria, where a new state parliament will also be elected on the Sunday after next, the latest survey has largely confirmed the current mood in the political landscape. When asked on Sunday, 36 percent of those surveyed answered CSU. This means that Prime Minister Markus Söder’s party was unable to improve compared to the last BayernTrend at the beginning of September and is just below its result from the 2018 state election (37.2 percent).
According to the survey, Economics Minister Hubert Aiwanger’s Free Voters, who co-govern as junior partners in the coalition, come to 16 percent. They lost one point compared to the most recent BayernTrend, but are clearly above the result from 2018 (11.6 percent).
The Free Voters are engaged in a three-way battle with the Greens and AfD for second place in Bavaria. According to the ARD pre-election survey, the Greens achieved 15 percent and thus remained constant compared to the beginning of September. Compared to the 2018 state election, this result would mean they would lose 2.6 points. The AfD would get 14 percent, one point better than at the beginning of September and significantly better than in 2018 (10.2 percent). The SPD remains constant at 9 percent, slightly weaker than in 2018 (9.7). With only 4 percent, the FDP would no longer be represented in the state parliament. However, the Free Democrats have gained one point in the past few weeks and are now only slightly behind their 2018 result.
51 percent of those surveyed were satisfied with the work of Prime Minister Markus Söder. 51 percent consider a continuation of the current government coalition of CSU and Free Voters to be the best option.