After the chaos weeks in Merkel’s CDU, the chances of the Greens of an election victory in September suddenly increased enormously. According to the latest polls, the up-and-coming party is now suddenly in first place – for the first time and by far!
In the RTL trend barometer, the Greens come to 28 percent, the CDU / CSU Union dropped by six points to 21 percent within a week. The once strong SPD (13) almost sinks into insignificance and is practically on a par with the growing FDP (12). The value of the right AfD remains unchanged (11).
The Greens’ candidate for chancellor is currently also enjoying great support. Even with executives. In a survey by the Civey survey of 1,500 bosses, Annalena Baerbock (40) is clearly ahead with 26.5 percent.
In second place is not even the CDU / CSU chancellor candidate Armin Laschet (60), but FDP leader Christian Lindner (42) with 16.2 percent. Laschet only achieved third place in the polls with 14.3 percent.
Afraid of the greens
It is understandable that there is now panic within the Union. There is great fear that the elections will have to be left to the Greens. A coalition of the Greens, SPD and FDP is currently being traded as a possible variant. Germany is experiencing a paradigm shift.
Especially in the east, the party base is still angry that the CDU leader is sending Armin Laschet and not the much more popular Bavarian Prime Minister Markus Söder (54) into the race as a candidate for chancellor.
Regional CDU parties therefore want to advertise with Söder. Sven Schulze (41), for example, CDU regional chief of Saxony-Anhalt, says in the “Bild” newspaper: “I will send Markus Söder a letter and ask him to support us in the election campaign.”
Surveys only snapshot
After Laschet’s nomination, the CDU also saw a wave of exit. Even longtime members leave the party out of anger. Compared to the “Bild” newspaper, a member of parliament said: “I’ve never seen it before. Neither in the refugee crisis, nor in the euro rescue or the Merz non-election in 2018 and 2021. “
The Germans elect their parliament and Merkel’s successor on September 26th. Nothing at all is lost for the Union yet. Above all, the surveys are questioned. Opposite Blick, the German historian Andreas Rödder (53), who is himself a CDU member, says: “It is not good for the public debate if one poll after the other is thrown out, although you never know how tendentious the questions are and how serious they are Elevations are. “
He attests to Laschet’s staying power. “It always looked like he was lagging behind without a chance, and then he won after all. He therefore has an advantage after the difficult start of the candidacy for chancellor: He can only win. “