MARKET POINT-Rebound in equities, hope for Ukraine despite the fighting – 02/25/2022 at 18:04


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  • The European Stoxx 600 index gained 3.32%, the CAC 40 in Paris 3.55%

  • Wall Street continued its mid-session rebound

  • Investors want to believe in a negotiated solution to the conflict in Ukraine

  • Oil falls, bond yields rise by Marc Angrand

PARIS, Feb 25 (Reuters) – European equities posted their best performance in more than a year on Friday and erased almost all of their losses from the previous day, the scale considered weak by Western sanctions targeting Moscow and the evocation possible talks between Russia and Ukraine were enough to restore investor confidence despite the ongoing fighting.

In Paris, the CAC 40 .FCHI gained 3.55% (231.38 points) to 6,752.43 points. In London, the FTSE 100 .FTSE gained 3.91% and in Frankfurt, the Dax .GDAXI gained 3.67%.

The EuroStoxx 50 .STOXX50E index ended up 3.69%, the FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 jumped 3.17% and the Stoxx 600 .STOXX rose 3.32%, its biggest rise in percentage over a session since November 2020. It had lost 3.83% on Thursday after the launch of the Russian offensive.

The rebound, already marked mid-session, accelerated after statements by the Kremlin spokesperson assuring that Russia was ready to send a delegation to Minsk, the capital of Belarus, for discussions with Ukraine.

Read also:

Russia ready to send a delegation to Minsk to discuss with Ukraine

At the same time, Kiev was still the target of Russian missiles and troops from Moscow continued their advance towards the Ukrainian capital.

Read also:

SYNTHESE-Kiev, bombarded, prepares for a Russian assault

Prior to Moscow’s statements, investors had already been reassured by the overall reduced scope of the sanctions against Russia, which for the moment avoid the exclusion of the latter from the international payment system SWIFT and eliminate in the short term any risk of rupture. supply of Russian natural gas to Europe.

At the time of the close in Europe, Wall Street was also evolving in the green, the Dow Jones .DJI winning 1.74%, the Standard & Poor’s 500 1.62% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC 1%.

Over the whole week, the CAC 40 lost 2.56% and the Stoxx 600 dropped 1.58%, its seventh negative weekly performance in eight weeks.

VALUES

The strongest sectoral increase of the day in Europe is for community services (“‘utilities”), benefited both by their defensive nature and their ability to take advantage of a diversification of the continent’s energy supplies to reduce dependence on electricity. Russia.

The Stoxx .SX6P sector index gained 4.75%, RWE RWEG.DE 6.07%, Enel ENEI.MI 5.77%, Engie ENGIE.PA 5.1% and EDF EDF.PA 5.76%.

The banking compartment meanwhile rebounded 4.27% .SX7P .

Defense stocks remained surrounded, like the French Thales TCFP.PA (+4.10%) or the British BAE Systems BAES.L (+3.36%).

In earnings news, Valeo VLOF.PA fell 10.46% after analysts deemed disappointing medium-term forecasts and Casino CASP.PA fell 12.29% after lower earnings and higher revenue. debt in 2021

Read also:

Valeo’s caution for 2022 overshadows its electric ambitions

Casino collapses after falling annual profit and rising debt.

Saint-Gobain SGOB.PA on the contrary gained 6.35% after a record financial year.

Read also:

Saint-Gobain wants to take advantage of the renovation market after a record year

In Frankfurt, Volkswagen VOWG_p.DE and Porsche SE PSHG_p.DE gained 5.24% and 3.77% respectively after details of their agreement on a possible Porsche AG IPO were presented.

Read also:

Volkswagen and Porsche SE specify the IPO project of Porsche AG

THE INDICATORS OF THE DAY

In the United States, household consumption expenditure increased more than expected in January (+2.1%), which could support growth in gross domestic product (GDP), but inflationary pressures have increased further, the PCE price index posting its strongest annual increase since 1982 (+6.1%).

Read also:

USA-Consumer spending beats expectations in January

In addition, durable goods orders excluding defense and aeronautics, considered a good barometer of business investment, rose 0.9% last month.

The morale of American households has deteriorated to its lowest level since 2011 according to the monthly survey from the University of Michigan.

Read also:

USA-Household morale at lowest since 2011-Michigan

RATE

European bond yields ended up sharply in the wake of those of US Treasuries: that of the ten-year German Bund DE10YT=RR , benchmark for the euro zone, posted a rebound of five basis points at the end of the session at 0.219%, returning to its level of Wednesday, and its French equivalent FR10YT=RR rose almost as much to 0.708%.

Investors are now waiting to know to what extent the conflict in Ukraine will influence the policy of the European Central Bank. The president of the institution, Christine Lagarde, assured that the ECB was ready to do what is necessary to ensure price stability and financial stability but it will be necessary to wait until March 10 to know its new economic forecasts.

In the US market, the ten-year US10YT=RR was trading at 1.9774% at the European close after rising to 2.016% just after the release of the PCE price index.

CHANGES

The dollar is down sharply against other major currencies .DXY (-0.40%) the day after its largest percentage increase in more than three months (+0.99%).

This decline is explained by the general revival of risk appetite but also by the fact that in the eyes of some forex traders, the figures for household income and expenditure could encourage the Federal Reserve to moderate in terms of monetary policy next month.

OIL

The relief on geopolitical tensions which favored the rebound in equities is also reflected in a drop in oil prices, while the trend was up at the start of the session: Brent fell 2.5% to $96.60 on barrel LCOc1 and US light crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) 2.14% to 90.82 dollars CLc1.

They had risen to $101.99 and $95.64 earlier in the day.

TO BE FOLLOWED MONDAY: nL8N2V076B

    
  
    LA SITUATION SUR LES MARCHÉS:
    (Certaines données peuvent accuser un léger décalage)
                                                           
  LA CLÔTURE EN EUROPE                                             
 Indices         Dernier  Var.     Var. %   YTD            
                          Points                    
 Eurofirst 300   1775,07  +54,47   +3,17%   -6,09%         
  .FTEU3                                            
 Eurostoxx 50    3970,69  +141,40  +3,69%   -7,62%         
  .STOXX50E                                         
 CAC 40  .FCHI   6752,43  +231,38  +3,55%   -5,60%         
 Dax 30          14567,2  +515,13  +3,67%   -8,29%         
  .GDAXI         3                                  
 FTSE  .FTSE     7488,58  +281,20  +3,90%   +1,41%         
 SMI  .SSMI      11987,3  +350,55  +3,01%   -6,90%         
                 1                                  
                                                           
  Les valeurs à suivre à Paris et                          
 en Europe :  WATCH/LFR                             
                                                           
  LA TENDANCE A  WALL STREET                                        
 Indices         Dernier  Var.     Var. %   YTD            
                          Points                    
 Dow Jones       33834,2  +610,40  +1,84%   -6,89%         
  .DJI           3                                  
 S&P-500         4364,08  +75,38   +1,76%   -8,44%         
  .SPX                                              
 Nasdaq  .IXIC   13635,8  +162,24  +1,20%   -12,84         
                 2                          %       
 Nasdaq 100      14144,3  +169,63  +1,21%   -13,33         
  .NDX           0                          %       
                                                           
  Compte rendu de la séance à                              
 Wall Street :  .NFR                                
 "The Day Ahead" - Le point sur la                         
 prochaine séance à Wall Street  DAY/US             
                                                           
  CHANGES                                                  
                 Cours    Veille   Var.%    YTD            
 Euro/Dlr        1,1259   1,1191   +0,61%   -0,96%         
  EUR=                                              
 Dlr/Yen  JPY=   115,62   115,52   +0,09%   +0,49%         
 Euro/Yen        130,20   129,29   +0,70%   -0,11%         
  EURJPY=                                           
 Dlr/CHF  CHF=   0,9271   0,9259   +0,13%   +1,63%         
 Euro/CHF        1,0441   1,0360   +0,78%   +0,69%         
  EURCHF=                                           
 Stg/Dlr  GBP=   1,3410   1,3375   +0,26%   -0,89%         
 Indice $        96,7440  97,1370  -0,40%   +0,59%         
  .DXY                                              
                                                           
 OR                                                        
                 Cours    Veille   Var. %   YTD            
 Or Spot  XAU=   1883,93  1903,14  -1,01%   +24,19         
                                            %       
                                                           
  TAUX                                                     
                          Dernier  Var.     Spread/Bund
                                              (pts)
                                                           
 Future Bund              165,95   -0,98                   
  FGBLc1                                            
 Bund 10 ans              0,23     +0,00                   
  DE10YT=RR                                         
 Bund 2 ans               -0,38    -0,00                   
  DE2YT=RR                                          
 OAT 10 ans               0,71     +0,00    +48,30         
  FR10YT=RR                                         
 Treasury 10              1,98     +0,01                   
 ans                                                
  US10YT=RR                                         
 Treasury 2 ans           1,60     +0,05                   
  US2YT=RR                                          
                                                           
  PETROLE                                                  
                 Cours    Précéde  Var      Var.%   YTD
                          nt                        
 Brut léger US   90,75    92,81    -2,06    -2,22%  +48,26%
  CLc1                                              
 Brent  LCOc1    96,60    99,08    -2,48    -2,50%  +46,30%
                                                           
 
 ((Rédaction de Paris 01 49 49 50 00;))
 
((Les valeurs à suivre à la Bourse de Paris et en Europe  WATCH/LFR ))



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