Support for the Liberal Party of Canada is increasing in Quebec, particularly if Mark Carney becomes its leader, according to a recent Angus Reid poll. Under Carney, the LPC would attract 37% of voters, closely trailing the Conservatives at 40%. Meanwhile, the Bloc Québécois faces a steep decline, dropping to 30%. In contrast, Chrystia Freeland’s potential leadership would yield only 29% for the LPC, highlighting Carney’s significant impact on voter sentiment.
Rising Support for the Liberal Party in Quebec
Recent trends indicate a surge in support for the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) in Quebec, coinciding with a noticeable decline for the Bloc Québécois (BQ). This shift is particularly pronounced if Mark Carney were to ascend as the new leader of the LPC, according to a fresh Angus Reid poll released on Tuesday.
The Impact of Mark Carney on Voter Sentiment
The “Carney effect” is resonating strongly across the nation, with voters responding positively to the prospect of Carney leading the Liberal Party. If Carney were to take the helm, the LPC could find itself in a fierce contest with Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Data from the survey, which sampled 2,011 Canadian adults between February 13 and 18, reveals that 37% of respondents would favor the LPC under Carney’s leadership, just three points behind the Conservatives at 40%.
The New Democratic Party (NDP) is facing tougher challenges, experiencing a drop in support to just 10%, marking an 11-point decrease since the holiday season. Over the same period, the LPC has enjoyed a substantial 21% increase in voter intentions, while the Conservatives have seen a slight decline of five points.
In terms of leadership competition, Chrystia Freeland, another key contender for the LPC leadership, does not elicit the same level of enthusiasm. Under her leadership, the LPC would garner only 29% of the vote—eight points less than Carney’s potential impact. The Conservatives would maintain their 40%, while the NDP would see a boost to 16%.
The Bloc Québécois is facing a challenging landscape in Quebec, with the “Carney effect” contributing to a significant drop in their support. Currently, Yves-François Blanchet’s party stands at 30%, trailing behind Carney’s Liberals at 31% and the Conservative Party at 22%. Over the past three weeks, the BQ has witnessed a staggering 14-point decline in voter intentions.
To illustrate the shift in voting intentions, the following data highlights the changes over time:
- **Voting Intentions if Mark Carney Led the LPC (Angus Reid Poll from January 27)**:
- Bloc Québécois: 44%
- Liberal Party of Canada: 25%
- Conservative Party of Canada: 18%
- New Democratic Party: 9%
- **Voting Intentions if Mark Carney Led the LPC (Angus Reid Poll from February 18)**:
- Bloc Québécois: 30%
- Liberal Party of Canada: 31%
- Conservative Party of Canada: 22%
- New Democratic Party: 8%
- **Voting Intentions if Chrystia Freeland Led the LPC (Angus Reid Poll from January 27)**:
- Bloc Québécois: 38%
- Liberal Party of Canada: 23%
- Conservative Party of Canada: 26%
- New Democratic Party: 9%
- **Voting Intentions if Chrystia Freeland Led the LPC (Angus Reid Poll from February 18)**:
- Bloc Québécois: 33%
- Liberal Party of Canada: 26%
- Conservative Party of Canada: 22%
- New Democratic Party: 14%