Jacques Serais
The National Assembly is preparing to vote on the two motions of censure tabled by the opposition. If they are passed by a majority of deputies, they can bring down the government. Emmanuel Macron will he have to separate from his Prime Minister, Elisabeth Borne?
After article 49-3 of this Thursday, place this Monday to the examination of the motions of censure in the National Assembly. One is issued by the National Rally and the other by the centrist group LIOT. The latter is the only one likely to bring down the government. Nevertheless, this scenario remains very unlikely because between 25 and 30 LR deputies would have to support it. In this context, Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne is more than ever on an ejection seat.
“I assume to be a fuse”
Everything suggests an imminent departure of the Prime Minister could take shape in the coming days. Ten months after her appointment to Matignon, Elisabeth Borne is more damaged than ever. She admits it herself: “I assume to be a fuse” she declared last Thursday to Emmanuel Macron during the Council of Ministers acknowledging the use of 49-3.
The Head of State would therefore have every good reason to part with it. However, at this stage, this option is not preferred. “It would be to satisfy the demands of the opponents. I do not see the President giving them this gift”, analyzes a heavyweight of the majority.
An insoluble equation
Emmanuel Macron is still as determined to enforce this reform. He wishes “that the text on pensions can go to the end of its democratic journey”, he recalled at the Elysee Palace on Sunday evening.
And if criticism fuses, even within the government, against Elisabeth Borne, Emmanuel Macron does not necessarily have other solutions. Who to replace her? For what benefit? Barely a year after the start of his second term, the President is already faced with an insoluble equation.