Pension reform: vote or 49.3, what will the executive choose?


Jacques Serais, edited by Laura Laplaud

Will the pension reform be adopted by Parliament this Thursday? A few hours before the vote of the senators and then of the deputies, the mystery remains. The executive, which is not sure of having a majority, could perhaps draw out article 49.3 of the Constitution.

After more than eight hours of debate, the deputies and senators, meeting in a joint committee on Wednesday, reached an agreement on a common version of the pension reform project. After a final meeting in a select committee, the Élysée announced on Wednesday evening that Emmanuel Macron “wishes” to go to the vote.

The absolute majority is not assured for the presidential camp

Élisabeth Borne, Olivier Dussopt the Minister of Labor and Franck Riester in charge of Relations with Parliament were gathered around the President at dinner time. The objective of this meeting was to secure a majority of votes, according to an adviser. But the conclusion of the meeting is quite different: the executive has no certainty, the absolute majority is not assured for the presidential camp.

Will Emmanuel Macron dissolve the National Assembly?

A certain number of Republican votes remains volatile, between abstentions and votes against. This is why Emmanuel Macron has not decided. “The consultations will continue this Thursday”, we slip in his entourage. And to put pressure on Les Républicains, who hold the key to the ballot, the threat of dissolution is again mentioned, if in the event of a vote, the opposition should prevail.

Emmanuel Macron therefore seems decided in appearance to want to play all out even if the hypothesis of a 49.3 is not definitively excluded at this stage. This last option would suppose that a council of ministers be convened urgently in the next few hours.



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