Plus in popularity: surveys show glimmers of hope for Biden

Plus in popularity
Polls show glimmers of hope for Biden

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Two extremely unpopular men are running in the US election in November – neither Trump nor Biden have the approval of a majority of Americans. But there are now several glimmers of hope for the incumbent.

About eight months before the US presidential election, incumbent Joe Biden has slightly increased in popularity with voters. In a survey published on Tuesday by the Reuters news agency and the polling institute Ipsos, 40 percent of respondents said the Democrat was doing a good job. In February it was 37 percent. Another survey commissioned by the financial portal Bloomberg also showed an upward trend for Biden.

However, in the Ipsos survey, 56 percent were dissatisfied with the 81-year-old’s work. At 23 percent (previously: 21 percent), those surveyed were also slightly more concerned about political extremism and threats to democracy. Among Republicans, the share of voters for whom immigration is the most important issue fell to 32 percent from 38 percent.

The survey also revealed general dissatisfaction among US citizens with key government institutions. 65 percent were unhappy with the work of the House of Representatives, 60 percent with the Senate and 56 percent with the Supreme Court. Only the US Federal Reserve did comparatively well with an approval rating of 53 percent. The Ipsos online survey ran from March 22nd to 24th.

On Tuesday, additional polls also showed good news for Biden. In six key states that could be decisive for the presidential election, his poll numbers improved compared to his challenger and predecessor Donald Trump. That showed Surveys commissioned by the US financial portal Bloomberg.

Clear plus in Wisconsin

The upswing was most noticeable in the state of Wisconsin. There, Biden is now one point ahead of Trump with 46 percent, after being four points behind the Republican in February. In Pennsylvania, both are at 45 percent – that is also a significant increase for the Democrat, who had six points less than Trump in February. According to this survey, there is also a tie in Michigan.

But Trump leads in other important states such as Georgia (7 points ahead), Arizona (+5), Nevada (+2) and North Carolina (+6). In the 2020 election, Biden won all of these states except North Carolina.

A good seven months before the election date on November 5th, such surveys have only limited significance. However, polls from states are more meaningful than national surveys because the election is decided in the states. Strictly speaking, there is not one US-wide election, but rather 50 individual elections in the states. On November 5th, in addition to the president, a third of the Senate and the entire House of Representatives will be re-elected.

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