Analysis
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Without too much surprise, the second round will therefore see the outgoing president who ends up on the first step with the overwhelming score of 27.6%, and the far-right candidate who nevertheless peaks at 23%. A poster that raises a lot of concerns about the second round.
This is not a remake. The final poster, long announced, is certainly the same, at the end of the first round, as in 2017. Marine Le Pen, again second on Sunday, improves her score by winning 23% of the votes in the first round (against 21 .3% five years ago), according to the Ipsos institute. And Emmanuel Macron, in the lead with 27.6%, even enjoys a slightly wider lead than during their first duel. But watch out for the lure. The breathtaking epic which had seen a young premier, never elected, get his hands on the Elysee Palace five years ago, this time turns into a suspense thriller. Twenty years after April 21, 2002, the accession to power of the extreme right is no longer improbable.
The RN candidate, whose camp qualifies for the third time in the second round of a presidential election, has more reason than ever to believe in it. On Sunday, she offers herself the luxury of reaching the second round without even filling up on the voices of the far right, the object of a fratricidal struggle with the polemicist Eric Zemmour (7.2%). An unprecedented reserve of votes while in the latest polls – carried out before the first round so to be taken with caution – the gap narrowed, placing the two finalists in the …