Presidential election in real time: Valérie Pécresse overtakes Marine Le Pen

This is a strong trend after four days of our poll, presidential in real time. Since Monday, the Republican candidate Valérie Pécresse has been making progress in our Ifop-Fiducial survey for Paris Match-LCI-Sud-Radio. From 15.5% Monday, this Thursday brings together 17% of the voting intentions in the first round of the ballot Valérie Pécresse doubles Marine Le Pen stable at 16.5% and widens the gap with Eric Zemmour (13.5%, =) .

In detail, the president of the Ile-de-France region is progressing among retirees (28%, +4) and among the electorate of François Fillon in the first round (57%, +2). His challenge will be to consolidate the base of his supporters. Of the three candidates behind Emmanuel Macron, she is the one whose safety of choice is the least strong (66% against 80% for Marine Le Pen and 71% for Eric Zemmour).

Slight drop for Macron

This is the first drop recorded by the outgoing president, not yet officially a candidate. Emmanuel Macron loses half a point in our investigation. The controversy over his sentences against the vaccinated and especially the confusion around the health protocol in schools have apparently slightly eroded his popularity in public opinion. It remains to be seen whether this will be an epiphenomenon or a heavier trend for the days and weeks to come.

At 26.5% of the voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election, the Head of State is still well placed for his re-election, especially since he still dominates the two second rounds polled by Ifop, largely against Marine Le Pen (58-42) and more difficult against Valérie Pécresse (53.5-43.5). Even more instructive for Emmanuel Macron, the safety of the choice in his favor stands at 70%.

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