Presidential in real time: Macron in pole position


Outgoing President Emmanuel Macron leads the first round of our first consultation carried out three months before the first round with 27% of the voting intentions. Before the 2022 presidential election, every day at 5 p.m., Monday to Friday, discover the results of our daily Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match, LCI and Sud Radio on voting intentions.

Quiet as an outgoing president. Ninety days before the first round of the presidential election, Emmanuel Macron dominates with his head and shoulders this first measurement of # LaPrésidentielleEnTempsRéel, this daily poll carried out by the Ifop-Fiducial institute for Paris Match, LCI and South -Radio. With 27% of voting intentions, he confirms his status as favorite even though no outgoing, outside of periods of cohabitation, has been reelected. He takes the lead in the presidential race at a very high level. In the same situation, Nicolas Sarkozy was at the same time at 23.5% and he was preceded by François Hollande who collected … 27% in this same daily survey, which does not take into account a very hypothetical candidacy of Christiane Taubira.

The left is figuration

Behind the outgoing president, second place is hotly contested with all the same an advantage to Marine Le Pen, the finalist of the 2017 presidential election. The candidate of the National Rally collects 17.5%, up compared to an Ifop survey published in “Le Figaro” last week. The deputy of Pas-de-Calais is ahead of Valérie Pécresse down to 15.5%. The designation effect, which had enabled him to launch his campaign well in December, is fading. Targeted by the Macronists, the Republican candidate replies and seems to lose track of what had allowed her to make the appointment during the LR congress, that is to say to focus on her proposals rather than pounding Emmanuel Macron day after day. . Behind Eric Zemmour continues to drop imperceptibly. It fell to 12.5% ​​while remaining in the wake of its rivals Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse. Further on, the left continues to make up the figure. Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads this second peloton with 9.5%. The total of left-wing candidates reached 23.5% of voting intentions, historically the lowest in decades. Tested for the first time, the animalist Party candidate Hélène Thouy obtained 0.5% of the voting intentions, or as much as the former minister of François Hollande Arnaud Montebourg.

One of the big questions of this presidential election remains the participation rate, especially in this period of long-lasting health crisis. Only 65% ​​of French people say they are determined to vote on April 10, which would be a historically low turnout.

From January 10 until the day before the second round (April 22), find every evening from 5 p.m. on the Paris Match website the results of the Rolling Ifop-Fiducial: the voting intentions of the French for the first and second round of the 2022 presidential election, as well as the estimated turnout. The principle of rolling consists of revealing the electoral balance of power in real time on the principle of a sliding accumulation of waves of daily surveys: the survey wave of the day is cumulated with the waves of the two previous days within the framework of ‘a sample totaling nearly 1,500 people. In total, more than 50,000 people will be questioned during the 15 weeks of the presidential campaign covered by the device.

Download the survey report.

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