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Presidential poll: Mélenchon overtakes Pécresse, Jadot retreats


For the first time, Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11.5%, +1) catches up with Valérie Pécresse (11%, -1) penalized by the legitimist reflex in favor of the outgoing president. On the left, the ecologist Yannick Jadot (5%) shows a drop of one point. Emmanuel Macron still dominates our daily Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match / LCI / Sud-Radio.

From second to fifth place. Valérie Pécresse has been falling continuously since mid-January in the Ifop-Fiducial rolling for Paris Match. The LR candidate is even overtaken for the first time by the Insoumis Jean-Luc Mélenchon. She does not reap on her duel with Eric Zemmour who wins half a point and goes up to 13% but remains at a good distance from Marine Le Pen (18%) still comfortably installed in the second qualifying place for the second round of the presidential election. . More worrying for Valérie Pécresse, the security of choice of her voters is quite low (67%) compared to her rivals Marine Le Pen (82%) and Eric Zemmour (79%). She loses LR voters (-14) and fillonists (-4). “The legitimist reflex is causing the Pécresse vote to collapse. She loses in all segments of the right to the benefit of Emmanuel Macron, ”notes Frédéric Dabi, director general of Ifop.

On the eve of his ritual Parisian march to which the Insoumis candidate expects 100,000 people (as in 2017), Jean-Luc Mélenchon continues his slow rise. Without miracles, he gained three points in two months, going from 8.5% to 11.5%. If he remains far from his 2017 score (19%), the MP for Marseille is on an upward curve. He garners where Yannick Jadot (5%, -1) is falling and Fabien Roussel (4.5%) is stagnating while Anne Hidalgo seems “cornerized” at 2%. The pressure of the useful vote on the left is likely to be strong in the home stretch and could work in favor of the candidate of rebellious France.

Macron on his 31

Far ahead, Emmanuel Macron seems unsinkable. Protected by the flag effect, the president-candidate is unreachable. Neither the criticism of the lack of adversarial debate with its competitors, nor its proposal to push back the legal retirement age to 65 has the slightest effect on the curve of its strong intentions, which is firmly attached to 31%.

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