After a weekend marked by the staging by Eric Zemmour of his rallies from LR and RN, the polemicist remains stable in our poll, still well ahead of Marine Le Pen. Before the 2022 presidential election, every day at 5 p.m., Monday to Friday, discover the results of our daily Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match-LCI-Sud-Radio.
Eric Zemmour dreamed of reviving its dynamics by organizing a big meeting in Cannes this weekend and above all by highlighting the transfers of elected officials from the RN. But the expected effect is not there. In our #LaPrésidentielleEnTempsRéel Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match, it remains stable, at 12%, far behind Marine Le Pen who takes 0.5 points to reach 18% of voting intentions. Bet therefore missed for the moment. And contrary to what one might think, their electorates show few similarities. So of course the polemicist takes votes from the RN candidate: 22% of her potential voters voted for Marine Le Pen in 2017, and 19% put a Fillon ballot in the ballot box. The candidate manages to gather the majority of her 2017 voters (66%) but takes only 2% of Fillon voters. But the social and geographical origins of those who support them are very different.
Macron and Jadot lose 1 point
To sum up, in Zemmour the wealthy categories and in Le Pen the most modest voters and the inhabitants of rural areas. In detail, the polemicist seduces 21% of the wealthiest households (whose monthly income is higher than 2650 euros per person at home) against only 8% of the poorest (income lower than 970 euros) while Marine Le Pen realizes respectively scores of 8% among the richest and 24% among the most popular categories. Its voting intentions explode in the rural communes (28% or 19 points more than Zemmour, at 9%) while it is only 11% in the Paris conurbation (on a par with Zemmour) and 17% in the provincial urban communities (where the Reconquest! candidate is at 13%).
Other lessons from our poll of the day, the downward trend for Emmanuel Macron who lost 1 point in voting intentions to 24.5%, or 1.5 points less than at the start of this rolling. And the decline of the ecologist Yannick Jadot who also lost 1 point to reach 5%, his lowest score for a fortnight. He leaves Jean-Luc Mélenchon prancing at the head of the left (+0.5 point to 10.5%). Socialist Anne Hidalgo (+0.5) is slightly ahead of Christiane Taubira (3.5% against 3%).
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