RTL/ntv trend barometer
AfD now at 17 percent
05/30/2023, 2:19 p.m
At the beginning of the year, the AfD was still at 13 percent and thus in fourth place among the parties. It has now overtaken the Greens and is just behind the SPD.
In the weekly trend barometer from RTL and ntv, the values of the traffic light parties are unchanged. The CDU and CSU lose one percentage point, the AfD gains one point and is only one point behind the SPD. Left and other parties also remain at the level of the previous week.
If the Bundestag were elected this week, the parties could expect the following result: CDU/CSU 29 percent (Bundestag election in September 2021: 24.1 percent), SPD 18 percent (25.7 percent), AfD 17 percent (10.3 percent), Greens 14 percent (14.8 percent), FDP 7 percent (11.5 percent), Left 5 percent (4.9 percent). An unchanged 10 percent of voters (8.7 percent) would choose other parties.
At 23 percent, the proportion of non-voters and undecided roughly corresponds to the proportion of non-voters in the last federal election (23.4 percent).
There are also only minor changes in the chancellor preference compared to the previous week. In a candidate constellation consisting of incumbent Olaf Scholz from the SPD, CDU leader Friedrich Merz and the Green Federal Minister of Economics Robert Habeck, 25 percent would currently choose Scholz, 23 percent for Merz and 14 percent for Habeck.
In another constellation, in which Habeck is not running for the Greens, but Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, Scholz currently has 27 percent, Merz 25 percent and Baerbock 19 percent – always on the only theoretical assumption that the chancellor will be elected directly .
When asked which party is best able to deal with the problems in Germany, 13 percent named the Union, one point less than in the previous week. 11 percent trust the SPD, 8 percent the Greens, 4 percent the FDP and 7 percent one of the other parties. An unchanged 57 percent do not trust any party to deal with the problems in Germany.
The data on political sentiment was collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany from May 23 to 26, 2023. Database: 2001 respondents. Statistical error tolerance: plus/minus 2.5 percentage points.