Thursday, November 25, 2021
RTL / ntv trend barometer
FDP supporters are rather skeptical about traffic lights
Only 35 percent of the FDP supporters assume that the traffic light will do a better job than the grand coalition. At the same time, a majority of them said that the FDP was most likely to have prevailed in the coalition negotiations. Green supporters see it similarly.
Just under a quarter of Germans have the impression that the SPD, Greens and FDP have so far been sufficiently concerned with containing the corona pandemic. When asked about this, 68 percent replied that they did not have this impression and 24 percent said that they had this impression. This was the result of a survey carried out on Thursday by the opinion research institute Forsa for the RTL / ntv trend barometer.
A clear majority of the supporters of all three future coalition parties also believes that the three traffic light parties have not yet dealt sufficiently with the containment of the corona pandemic. For the SPD the ratio is 32 to 61 percent, for the Greens 25 to 65 percent, for the FDP 36 to 57 percent.
Majority wants tougher measures now
Likewise, only a minority of German citizens think the decision by the SPD, Greens and FDP is correct to wait ten days and then check whether more stringent measures are necessary to combat the corona pandemic. 70 percent are of the opinion that the measures to contain the pandemic should be tightened now. 28 percent think it is right to wait.
Among the supporters of the FDP, a narrow majority, and among the supporters of the SPD and the Greens, a clear majority in favor of tightening the corona measures already now. Only supporters of the AfD are majority against tightening the corona measures.
FDP supporters do not expect much change
A third of Germans (33 percent) expect the traffic light to rule the country better than the previous grand coalition of the Union and the SPD. 19 percent assume that the future coalition will govern the country worse, 40 percent expect no significant difference.
The expectations of the supporters of the future governing parties differ significantly: while 57 percent of the SPD supporters and 79 percent of the Greens supporters expect better government work, the FDP supporters show a certain skepticism: only 35 percent of them assume it will that the traffic light government will do a better job than the grand coalition. 16 percent of the FDP supporters expect a deterioration, 47 percent of them do not expect any major change.
Supporters of the Union parties (46 percent) and the AfD (51 percent) expect the future coalition to govern worse than the previous one. Leftists expect a 51 percent improvement and only 4 percent a deterioration.
The majority of Germans believe that the traffic lights will stop
The future coalition parties have promised a “departure into a new era”. 37 percent of German citizens believe that the traffic light will meet this requirement. 56 percent do not believe that the new coalition can meet this claim.
A majority of the supporters of the SPD and the Greens believe that the future coalition can live up to this claim, while 59 percent of the FDP supporters do not.
59 percent of German citizens assume that the new traffic light coalition will last for four years. 29 percent believe that the alliance will break prematurely. The supporters of the Union, and especially the AfD, are most likely to believe that the coalition will end prematurely.
Almost a third (30 percent) of the FDP supporters assume that the coalition will not last for four years. With the SPD it is 5 percent, with the Greens 6 percent.
The increase in the minimum wage is widely supported
The future governing parties have decided to relax the sanctions for Hartz IV recipients. Only a minority of German citizens (28 percent) think this is correct. 65 percent think this decision is wrong.
A large majority of workers and employees also thinks that the sanctions for Hartz IV recipients are not being relaxed. Of the supporters of the future governing parties, only the Greens support a majority support this agreement, but not the supporters of the SPD and especially the FDP. The easing of sanctions for Hartz IV recipients has the greatest support from supporters of the Left Party.
The decision to raise the minimum wage to 12 euros in the future, on the other hand, met with approval from a large majority (83 percent). Only a few (13 percent) consider raising the minimum wage to 12 euros to be wrong. The approval of the FDP supporters to an increase in the minimum wage is, however, much more restrained than that of supporters of the SPD and the Greens. 64 percent of FDP supporters think the decision is correct, 35 percent think it is wrong. 96 percent of the SPD supporters are in favor, and 95 percent of the Greens supporters.
Most Germans think the FDP has won
FDP leader Christian Lindner will take over the finance ministry in the future federal government. 51 percent of German citizens believe that Lindner will fill this position well. 31 percent do not believe this, 18 percent do not dare to make an assessment.
While almost all of the FDP supporters (96 percent) expect Lindner to become a good finance minister, 47 percent of the SPD supporters and only 35 percent of the Green supporters believe this. The majority of the supporters of Union and AfD have positive expectations of Lindner as finance minister.
40 percent of German citizens have the impression that of the three traffic light parties in the coalition negotiations, the FDP was the most likely to get their goals and ideas through. 23 percent believe that from the SPD, only 13 percent from the Greens.
Most of the supporters of the Greens (46 percent) also believe that the FDP is the most likely to have prevailed with their ideas, only 13 percent think that of “their” party. A similar number of SPD supporters believe that the SPD (38 percent) and the FDP (31 percent) are the most likely to have achieved their goals. Among the FDP supporters, a majority of 55 percent said the Liberals were most likely to have prevailed.
The data was collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany on November 25, 2021. Database: 1008 respondents. Statistical error tolerance: +/- 3 percentage points.