Survey in Thuringia
BSW comes close to Ramelow, AfD loses
May 1, 2024, 7:16 p.m
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According to the latest survey, forming a government in Thuringia after September 1st is likely to be difficult. The Wagenknecht alliance BSW increased to 16 percent and drew level with Prime Minister Ramelow’s left. AfD and CDU lose easily. The traffic light parties recorded single-digit values.
Four months before the state elections in Thuringia, the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance continues to make gains in an Insa survey, while the AfD loses slightly in popularity. The newly founded party around former left-wing politician Wagenknecht achieved 16 percent in the current representative Insa survey commissioned by Funke-Medien Thuringia. Compared to an Insa survey from mid-March, this means an increase of three percentage points. The AfD loses one percentage point in this comparison and achieves 30 percent approval in the new survey. An Infratest-dimap survey from mid-March had seen BSW at 15 percent and the AfD at 29 percent.
The new Insa survey further indicates difficult majority conditions in Thuringia. Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow’s left gets 16 percent (minus two percentage points) – and would be on a par with the BSW. The CDU with its top candidate Mario Voigt lost one percentage point compared to the Insa survey from mid-March and now has 20 percent. The FDP would miss out on entering the state parliament with two percent, while the Greens would have to worry about it with a figure of five percent. The SPD can improve slightly and reaches seven percent. Other parties are given at four percent. The margin of error for the survey is plus/minus three percentage points.
Ramelow competes again
According to the survey, a coalition of the CDU, BSW, SPD and the Greens would have a mathematical majority – which together come to 48 percent. An alliance of the CDU, BSW and the Left would also have a majority of 52 percent, but is not considered politically feasible because the CDU rules out coalitions with the Left and the AfD.
A new state parliament will be elected in Thuringia on September 1st. Ramelow competes again. He is currently leading a minority government made up of the Left, the SPD and the Greens, which has to make do in parliament without its own majority and without a permanent tolerating partner. In the past, the opposition had passed laws against the will of the government. Majorities for CDU or FDP initiatives, for example, were achieved with the help of AfD votes.