The energy transition will cause a loss of 13 billion euros in state revenue by 2030, in taxes on fuels, and 30 billion by 2050, estimates the General Directorate of the Treasury in a report published on Tuesday.
The exit from fossil fuels implies a reduction in taxes on these energies: taxation unchanged, they could erode by 13 billion euros by 2030 and 30 billion euros by 2050, estimates the Treasury in this interim report of the study on economic issues of the transition to carbon neutrality which he will publish in 2024.
This document is published on the occasion of the Bercy Meetings devoted Tuesday to the theme of Growth and climate.
These figures are part of the scenario of global warming limited to 1.5, for which France and the European Union have made commitments to reduce their net greenhouse gas emissions by 55% in 2030 compared to 1990. , and carbon neutrality in 2050.
The report observes that Scandinavian countries, whose electrification of the vehicle fleet began earlier, are already facing this phenomenon of revenue erosion, and that several European countries are responding by mobilizing more other sources of revenue within the sector road such as urban pages or the reduction of subsidies for electric vehicles as their purchase price falls.
Furthermore, the report estimates that an additional 110 billion euros per year (gross, compared to 2021) in private and public investments will be necessary for decarbonization projects. He does not yet have an estimate for 2050.
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