The future of the immigration bill decided this Monday, everything indicates that it is heading straight into the wall

After last week’s snub, the government hopes to find a compromise on the immigration bill this Monday afternoon in the Joint Committee (CMP). Emmanuel Macron said it last week: without an agreement, the text will be abandoned. Will the members of the CMP manage to find an agreement? Currently, state medical aid and access to social assistance for foreigners are still stuck between the Republicans and the majority. Everything therefore indicates that the text is going straight into the wall.

A situation of excitement never seen since 2017

In desperation, the executive becomes agitated. Élisabeth Borne is holding more meetings and her ministers are being asked to measure their comments in the media. A situation of excitement never seen before since the election of Emmanuel Macron in 2017 which leaves little hope for the presidential majority to see the immigration bill succeed, whether in the Joint Joint Commission (CMP) this Monday evening or in the hemicycle on Tuesday.

Because even if an agreement were found today between the seven deputies and the seven senators of the CMP – which is unlikely – Élisabeth Borne cannot count with certainty on the support of the left wing of the macronie. A dark scenario which would see the text fail due to a defection of part of the presidential camp. The sign that the balance of power has indeed been reversed.

The Republicans are determined to flex their muscles. “It is the text of the Senate and it alone that we want to vote on,” insists Éric Ciotti, the boss of the Republicans. On the right, some, like Aurélien Pradié, no longer hesitate to affirm that they would vote against a compromise text. In other words, how to play with the nerves of an executive already under tension to better push it to the breaking point…