Who will replace Emmanuel Macron at the head of the Macronist bloc? This is the question that worries the ranks of the macronie, as the head of state begins his second term. If the President of the Republic still has four years to carry out his action, for political scientist Jérôme Jaffré, “the post-Macronism period started on the evening of April 24”.
Political calculations
“This president cannot stand for re-election. He will not become eligible for re-election until the day after the election of his successor. So everyone has entered into calculations”, notes the researcher at CEVIPOF. “Everyone has entered into positions, either to hope to go to Matignon which can be a march towards the Elysée, or to develop their own music, like Edouard Philippe”, he continues, at the microphone of Europe 1.
But the future of macronism is not only played out within the party, underlines Jérôme Jaffré. In the midst of the election of a new leader, the Republican party could well take advantage of a potential ego war within the presidential party. “The presidential deal for the Republicans also enters the post-Macronism era,” he notes.
A boon for the Republicans
“Because the truth is that we do not know what will become of Macronism after Emmanuel Macron. And it can disappear completely. Macronism is overcoming the left-right divide, it is the creation of a central bloc, the mixture of left, center left and center right themes. It can disappear completely when a new leader is needed for this political current”, judges Jérôme Jaffré.
A boon for the LRs judges the researcher associated with CEVIPOF, who believes that “the French fear a Le Pen / Mélenchon duel. And therefore, voters will seek a political alternative to get out of this duel. Therefore, the autonomy of the Republicans is a essential component of maintaining an independent political offer”, he concludes.