If the president-candidate remains in the lead in this battle for the presidency of the Republic with 53.5% of voting intentions in the second round, he is considered less credible than Marine Le Pen on three of the five major themes of the campaign. ‘after our Ifop-Fiducial survey for Paris Match-LCI-Sud Radio.
Health, education, the fight against terrorism, purchasing power and insecurity, these are the five major concerns of the French according to our Ifop-Fiducial survey. And if Emmanuel Macron seems on the right track to re-enlist for a second term, Marine Le Pen can always hope to block his way by doubling him on three of the five main themes: purchasing power, the fight against insecurity and the fight against terrorism.
On health, Emmanuel Macron is credible for 41% of French people compared to Marine Le Pen who achieves a timid score of 34%. Ifop’s general opinion director Frédéric Dabi explains that according to a survey by his institute, “this was the first occupation of the French from September 2019 and despite the dysfunctions in the management of Covid, the population more often retained the photo than the film”, adding that “the vaccination campaign, in particular, took precedence over the failures such as the management of masks or the tests. ” For him, ” it is normal that Macron is in front on this theme. »
Regarding education, the far-right candidate is 9 points behind the outgoing president: 42% for Macron, 33% for Le Pen. A “surprising” score according to Frédéric Dabi who declares that despite a “disenchantment, with Parcoursup, the baccalaureate, and a general pessimism on education”, the government is doing well. On the other hand, “Marine Le Pen does not communicate on this theme in her program” preferring to privilege “purchasing power, so that there was an association between the story that we make of the French campaign and Marine The pen. »
For Frédéric Dabi, Emmanuel Macron also has the complicated status of the outgoing
The director general of Ifop adds that “Macron is lagging worryingly behind in purchasing power because it is the main theme of the campaign”, nevertheless tempering: “He also has the complicated status of the outgoing. He has a track record where they say he hasn’t done enough. As a reminder, the RN candidate is the most credible on purchasing power with 42% of the votes cast, against Emmanuel Macron’s 34%.
Presidential poll: analysis of the campaign between the two rounds by Ifop
As for the fight against insecurity and delinquency, the gap is very clear: 53% on the RN side, 28% at LREM. According to Frédéric Dabi, the “March poll was already unfavorable to Macron. “Contrary to Marine Le Pen who has always made it a hobbyhorse, for the French, “it is one of the rare issues where the outgoing president has no proposals on this. He embodies inaction and is very withdrawn, behind, whether on delinquency and insecurity. “The shift is therefore not on insecurity, unlike in 2002, but on purchasing power and the candidate “is in the lead on these subjects because she talked a lot about wages and purchasing power. On the fight against terrorism, Marine Le Pen is ahead of Emmanuel Macron by 5 points: 43% against 38%.
For Frédéric Dabi, there are “three dimensions for this second round: participation, reports with the themes, and the debate on Wednesday April 20. »