Presidential 2022: Macron “on quicksand”

VS’is a given that all the candidates – declared or not – in the presidential election have clearly identified: the French do not have their minds in the campaign. This state of mind is felt on the ground, and measured in opinion polls. According to a BVA survey for RTL and Orange carried out between January 24 and 26, 73% of those questioned said they were interested in the April election. This is three points less compared to the month of December, and four compared to the same period, in 2017. At the same time, the intention to vote is also decreasing: 71% of voters questioned are certain to participate, compared to 74% at the beginning of the month. The volatility index stands at 43%. A German scenario, with an electorate that changes its mind at the last…