Another presidential campaign is now starting. How will the next few days look like? For Louis de Raguenel, head of the political service of Europe 1, “it was enough to listen to Emmanuel Macron to understand” that “his real campaign begins tonight”. The president-candidate will try to “tighten the match against Marine Le Pen”. According to the journalist, the candidate of the National Rally is in the same state of mind. However, “Emmanuel Macron benefits from the support and postponement of several small candidates who have not managed to qualify”.
For her part, “Marine Le Pen enjoys the support of Éric Zemmour, who clearly called to vote for her”.
The decisive rebellious voters
Louis de Raguenel reminds him at the microphone of Europe 1, the vote of the voters of Jean-Luc Mélenchon will be decisive in the days to come. “The whole election will be decided according to what the militants, the voters of rebellious France do”, he specifies, recalling that nearly 20% of the voters made the choice of Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round. “They are very important referees. They are really the ones who can set the tone for this second round,” he said. If the leader of rebellious France did not explicitly call for a vote for Emmanuel Macron, according to the journalist from Europe 1, he “repeated several times that it is out of the question to vote for Marine Le Pen”.
And to recall that “for years, there have been theories that the RN electorate was quite close to rebellious France”. For the editorialist, this new Macron/Le Pen between-two-rounds will be an opportunity to see “if these left-wing voters refer to her, or rather to Emmanuel Macron”. According to him, we must also not forget the fact that “some of them will not vote because there are people in rebellious France for whom it is both unbearable to give a voice for Emmanuel Macron and unbearable to give a voice to Marine Le Pen”.
Two France face to face
If the traditional parties have faded away, even collapsed on the evening of this first round of the presidential election, this evening there are three major blocs that are emerging: a European liberal central bloc with Emmanuel Macron, a bloc to the left of the left with Jean-Luc Mélenchon and a national/nationalist bloc with Marine Le Pen. According to Matthieu Bock-Côté, sociologist and editorial writer on Europe 1, it is now two Frances that face each other. “The old left-right divide, as we had known it, has finished disintegrating.” According to him, the right-wing bloc is now clearly led by Marine Le Pen.
For the sociologist, this presidential “will be experienced as a double referendum”, with on the one hand Emmanuel Macron who calls for a “choice, a moral necessity”, and on the other hand, “Marine Le Pen will call for a form of insurrectionary vote” by insisting on the anti-Macron vote.