Worst session since March of the Paris Stock Exchange, sounded by the rise in interest rates

The Paris Stock Exchange fell more than 3% on Thursday, its worst session since March, bearing the full brunt of the sudden rise in bond market rates after signals of severity from the American central bank.

The star CAC 40 index lost 228.52 points to 7,082.29 points, its worst performance since March 15. After four sessions in the red this week, its losses are 4.29%, the worst weekly performance of the year.

The index even fell to its lowest level since March 27.

Elsewhere in Europe, losses were also notable in London (-2.17%) and Frankfurt (-2.57%).

The Parisian coast opened in the red, but especially saw its fall accentuate in the second part of the session, after the publication of job creations in the United States twice as many as expected, and at their highest since a year according to the ADP/Standford Lab survey.

The data comes ahead of the release of the official jobs report on Friday.

Thursday’s data suggests that the job market continues to tighten, said IG analyst Alexandre Baradez.

However, the job market is one of the barometers of the US Federal Reserve to calibrate its response to inflation, which is declining but still well above the 2% target.

Consequently, the bond rate market considers [comme probable] the risk of having a rise in July and another in September from the Fed to fight inflation again, after ten rate hikes since 2022 and a pause at the last meeting.

The French 10-year interest rate soared to come close to 3.20%, or more at the level since March, when it was only 3.02% on Wednesday. This is its highest level since its ten-year record in early March. The French 2-year rate also rose sharply to end around nearly 3.45%, against 3.38% on Wednesday.

This analysis was backed up by a statement by Lorie Logan, a member of the central bank’s monetary committee (FOMC), who believes that a more restrictive policy is needed.

Wednesday’s minutes from the Fed’s June meeting were harsh in tone, Baradez said, showing intense discussions over whether to take the break.

Earlier in the week, the markets had already been cooled by signals of declining activity in China, Europe and the United States.

Reassuringly in the United States, activity in services progressed in June, more than what the market had anticipated, for the sixth month in a row, driven by demand also on the rise, according to the survey of the professional federation ISM publishes Thursday.

red everywhere

All CAC 40 stocks ended down.

The largest drop is for the shopping center giant Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (-5.55% to 47.34 euros), the real estate sector being sensitive to interest rates.

The technology sector also suffered with Capgemini -4.54% 167.10 euros, STmicroelectronics (-5.12% 43.05 euros), Teleperformance (-4.23% 146.15 euros).

Luxury stocks, heavyweights in the index and whose very high valuations are also sensitive to rate changes, did not escape the trend: Herms fell 4.79% to 1,840 euros, LVMH by 3.72% 816 euros.

Only values ​​with a defensive profile, a little more sought after in the event of a heat stroke on the markets, held up better, such as Carrefour (-0.44% to 16.80 euros), or Orange (-1.06% to 10.48 euros) .

source site-96