Alexandre Chauveau / Photo credits: STEPHANE MOUCHMOUCHE / HANS LUCAS / HANS LUCAS VIA AFP
The immigration bill will be examined in the Assembly from Monday. The government could well find itself in difficulty if all the deputies opposed to the text coming from the Law Committee decide to vote on the rejection motion tabled by the environmentalists.
Could the immigration bill be rejected on Monday in the National Assembly? This could well be the case if all the deputies opposed to the text resulting from the Laws Committee decided to vote for the rejection motion tabled by the Greens. A hypothesis which is gaining momentum and which could have serious consequences.
Return to the Senate
If the bill is rejected by the Assembly, the government would then have three options to choose from. The first option would be for the text to go back to the Senate, responsible for re-examining the version that the upper house itself voted in mid-November. The bill would subsequently return to the Assembly.
Convening of a joint committee
The second option is that of convening a joint committee. Seven senators and seven deputies gathered to find a compromise. The right would be in the majority and would then have every opportunity to impose its conditions.
Removing text
Finally, the third possibility. Faced with the rejection of oppositions, the government would withdraw the text. Such a decision could only be decided by the head of state. One thing is certain, the government no longer has control and could face an alliance of oppositions. The left would thus reject a text that it considers too restrictive, the Republicans on the contrary would see the possibility of reviving the Senate version, much harsher than that of the Law Commission.
The National Rally would have the opportunity to defeat Gérald Darmanin. This would then be a major political setback for the Minister of the Interior, opposed to 49.3 on this text, and convinced until now of his ability to obtain a majority.