While the curfew from 6 p.m. has just been extended to all of France, epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet fears a new "surge" of Covid-19 in March and believes that the country "does not have a lot of room for maneuver "in the face of this fourth wave.
The return to life before is not for today if we are to believe the epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet. While the majority of European countries are reconfining themselves in the face of a third wave of Covid-19, France has advanced the curfew to 6 p.m. throughout the country. If for the moment a reconfinement is not on the agenda, it is not excluded by the government either. The health situation could deteriorate again in the coming weeks or even in the coming months, in particular with the arrival of virus variants.
Guest on the show Grand Jury of LCI on this Sunday, January 17, 2021, Arnaud Fontanet was rather pessimistic about the evolution of the epidemic. "The scenarios show that we should be able to hold out until March. Unfortunately, compared to the variants, which are really a change in the situation of this epidemic, I have no rational argument to tell you that 'we are not going to suffer a progression of the epidemic which could start in March-April", did he declare. "Before the variant begins to speak for itself – and according to the scenarios we have today, it is rather in March that its outbreak should be felt – well we must empty precisely these beds of hospitals and these sheaves beds ", he then added.
Our colleagues from Parisian specify that the member of the Scientific Council recalled that the United Kingdom was in control of the health situation before the appearance of a variant of the virus last November but unfortunately this is no longer the case. The country has now been totally confined since Wednesday, January 6, 2021 until March.
Will France also re-define itself?
The epidemiologist revealed that "https://www.aufeminin.com/"there has not been a resumption of the epidemic as severe as what we feared after the end of the year holidays, but there is still a small increase which is not insignificant. is really annoying, is that we start with a very high level of bed occupancy at the end of the second wave. And suddenly we don't have a lot of leeway if the epidemic starts up again ", he stressed. However, Arnaud Fontanet does not recommend a new confinement for the moment not least because this measure is hurting the economy. According to him, "it's good to try to do everything not to go towards confinement, which is always an extremely heavy measure at the economic and social level. Keeping in mind, however, that the earlier the measures are taken, the more effective they are, so there is a dilemma".
On the other hand, the member of the Scientific Council recommends vaccination of all French people if time confirms that the various vaccines are safe. "As long as we know that the vaccine works, and that the vaccine has no adverse effects, why do without it?" he said, specifying to stop the circulation of the virus, "we will have to reach larger populations".
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